منابع تولید پراکنده تجدید پذیر با لحاظ عدم قطعیت
الموضوعات : علوم زیست محیطیمهدی دستخوان 1 , علی دوست رستمی زاده 2
1 - دانشگاه فنی و حرفه ای پسران یاسوج
2 - دانشگاه فنی و حرفه ای پسران یاسوج
الکلمات المفتاحية: منابع تولید, محیطزیست, تجدید پذیر, دستگاههای قدرت, فتوولتاییک,
ملخص المقالة :
امروزه بیشتر انرژی برق موردنیاز کشورها با استفاده از سوختهای فسیلی تأمین میگردد. با توجه به این امر که انرژیهای فسیلی تجدید ناپذیر میباشند و آلودگیهای زیستمحیطی را به همراه خواهند داشت، استفاده از منابع تجدید پذیر برای تأمین انرژی الکتریسیته امری ضروری میباشد. در بسیاری از مطالعات انجام شده تابهحال در این زمینه، رفتار تصادفی بار و منابع انرژی نو در نظر گرفته نشده است که این امر باعث میشود نتایج حاصله با این فرض دارای دقت کافی نباشند و به دلیل عدم بررسی دقیق، معمولاً در این طراحیها، مقادیر بهدستآمده بیش از مقدار موردنیاز میباشند که این امر موجب میگردد هزینه سیستم بیشتر شود. نتایج شبیهسازی شاخص ایجادشده را نشان میدهد. باید توجه داشت که شبیهسازیهای مونتکارلو نتایج قطعی تولید نمیکنند، بلکه نتایجی که این شبیهسازیها فراهم میکنند، همراه با توزیعهای احتمالی میباشد. این روش پیشنهادی از این ویژگی استفاده میکند تا یکی از نواقص اساسی مدلهای توضیح دادهشده در مقالات قبلی، برطرف شود (اغلب این مقالات تنها به اثرات PHEVs بدون در نظر گرفتن احتمالات رخ دادن چنین اثراتی پرداختهاند). تحقیق انجام شده در این مقاله، عملکرد دستگاههای قدرت را تحت نفوذ بالای PHEVs و الکتریسیته فتوولتاییک تحلیل میکند و روشهای جدیدی را برای هموار ساختن یکپارچهسازی این دو تکنولوژی در شبکههای کنونی ارائه میکند.
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